Marbach, Moritz;
(2023)
Causal Effects, Migration, and Legacy Studies.
American Journal of Political Science
10.1111/ajps.12809.
(In press).
Preview |
Text
American J Political Sci - 2023 - Marbach - Causal Effects Migration and Legacy Studies.pdf - Published Version Download (617kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Political scientists have long been interested in the persistent effects of history on contemporary behavior and attitudes. To estimate legacy effects, studies often compare people living in places that were historically exposed to some event and those that were not. Using principal stratification, we provide a formal framework to analyze how migration limits our ability to learn about the persistent effects of history from observed differences between historically exposed and unexposed places. We state the necessary assumptions about movement behavior to causally identify legacy effects. We highlight that these assumptions are strong; therefore, we recommend that legacy studies circumvent bias by collecting data on people's place of residence at the exposure time. Reexamining a study on the persistent effects of U.S. civil rights protests, we show that observed attitudinal differences between residents and nonresidents of historic protest sites are more likely due to migration rather than attitudinal change.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Causal Effects, Migration, and Legacy Studies |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1111/ajps.12809 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12809 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | Copyright © 2023 The Authors. American Journal of Political Science published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Midwest Political Science Association. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10178752 |
Archive Staff Only
 |
View Item |
