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Identifying clusters of anomalous payments in the salvadorian payment system

Arévalo, F; Barucca, P; Téllez-León, IE; Rodríguez, W; Gage, G; Morales, R; (2022) Identifying clusters of anomalous payments in the salvadorian payment system. Latin American Journal of Central Banking , 3 (1) , Article 100050. 10.1016/j.latcb.2022.100050. Green open access

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Abstract

We develop an unsupervised methodology to group payments and identify possible anomalies. With our methodology, we identify clusters based on a set of network features, using transactional (unlabeled) information from a systemically important payment system of El Salvador. We first preprocess network features, such as degree and strength, through a principal components analysis we reduce the dimensionality of the newly defined data, then we place the main variables into clustering algorithms (k-means and DBSCAN) to analyze anomalous payments. We then analyze, these clusters using random forest to obtain the main network feature. Our results suggest that the proposed methodology works very well to detect anomalous payments, and it is very important to study the case of El Salvador, because of the recent restructuring of the Massive Payment System in El Salvador (promoted by the Transfer365 project), because the authorities want to increase financial inclusion. This change will make the SPM available to the public, to diversify services and incorporate more participants because, historically, it has operated with only three active participants. We expected that Transfer365 will interconnect the LBTR participants' systems with their banking core, the systems of the Ministry of Finance, and other authorized participants to channel large payment flows. Then, identifying possible anomalies through methodology will enhance risk monitoring and management by payment systems overseers.

Type: Article
Title: Identifying clusters of anomalous payments in the salvadorian payment system
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.latcb.2022.100050
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2022.100050
Language: English
Additional information: © 2022 Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Center for Latin American Monetary Studies. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Keywords: Automated detection, Anomalous patterns, Payment systems, Supervisory analysis
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10174195
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