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Guidance on the Use of Complex Systems Models for Economic Evaluations of Public Health Interventions

Breeze, PR; Squires, H; Ennis, K; Meier, P; Lomax, N; Shiell, A; Kee, F; ... Brennan, A; + view all (2023) Guidance on the Use of Complex Systems Models for Economic Evaluations of Public Health Interventions. Health Economics , 32 (7) pp. 1603-1625. 10.1002/hec.4681. Green open access

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Abstract

To help health economic modelers respond to demands for greater use of complex systems models in public health. To propose identifiable features of such models and support researchers to plan public health modeling projects using these models. A working group of experts in complex systems modeling and economic evaluation was brought together to develop and jointly write guidance for the use of complex systems models for health economic analysis. The content of workshops was informed by a scoping review. A public health complex systems model for economic evaluation is defined as a quantitative, dynamic, non-linear model that incorporates feedback and interactions among model elements, in order to capture emergent outcomes and estimate health, economic and potentially other consequences to inform public policies. The guidance covers: when complex systems modeling is needed; principles for designing a complex systems model; and how to choose an appropriate modeling technique. This paper provides a definition to identify and characterize complex systems models for economic evaluations and proposes guidance on key aspects of the process for health economics analysis. This document will support the development of complex systems models, with impact on public health systems policy and decision making.

Type: Article
Title: Guidance on the Use of Complex Systems Models for Economic Evaluations of Public Health Interventions
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/hec.4681
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4681
Language: English
Additional information: © 2023 The Authors. Health Economics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Keywords: complex systems, economic modeling, public health
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health > Behavioural Science and Health
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10167833
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