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Comparison of the modified Singapore myocardial infarction registry risk score with GRACE 2.0 in predicting 1-year acute myocardial infarction outcomes

Sia, Ching-Hui; Zheng, Huili; Ko, Junsuk; Ho, Andrew Fu-Wah; Foo, David; Foo, Ling-Li; Lim, Patrick Zhan-Yun; ... Hausenloy, Derek J; + view all (2022) Comparison of the modified Singapore myocardial infarction registry risk score with GRACE 2.0 in predicting 1-year acute myocardial infarction outcomes. Scientific Reports , 12 (1) , Article 14270. 10.1038/s41598-022-16523-6. Green open access

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Abstract

Risk stratification plays a key role in identifying acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients at higher risk of mortality. However, current AMI risk scores such as the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score were derived from predominantly Caucasian populations and may not be applicable to Asian populations. We previously developed an AMI risk score from the national-level Singapore Myocardial Infarction Registry (SMIR) confined to ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients and did not include non-STEMI (NSTEMI) patients. Here, we derived a modified SMIR risk score for both STEMI and NSTEMI patients and compared its performance to the GRACE 2.0 score for predicting 1-year all-cause mortality in our multi-ethnic population. The most significant predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality in our population using the GRACE 2.0 score was cardiopulmonary resuscitation on admission (adjusted hazards ratio [HR] 6.50), while the most significant predictor using the SMIR score was age 80-89 years (adjusted HR 7.78). Although the variables used in the GRACE 2.0 score and SMIR score were not exactly the same, the c-statistics for 1-year all-cause mortality were similar between the two scores (GRACE 2.0 0.841 and SMIR 0.865). In conclusion, we have shown that in a multi-ethnic Asian AMI population undergoing PCI, the SMIR score performed as well as the GRACE 2.0 score.

Type: Article
Title: Comparison of the modified Singapore myocardial infarction registry risk score with GRACE 2.0 in predicting 1-year acute myocardial infarction outcomes
Location: England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-16523-6
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16523-6
Language: English
Additional information: This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Keywords: Cardiology, Medical research, Risk factors
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science > Pre-clinical and Fundamental Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10154596
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