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Examining the generalizability of research findings from archival data

Delios, Andrew; Clemente, Elena Giulia; Wu, Tao; Tan, Hongbin; Wang, Yong; Gordon, Michael; Viganola, Domenico; ... Zultan, Ro'i; + view all (2022) Examining the generalizability of research findings from archival data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences , 119 (30) , Article e2120377119. 10.1073/pnas.2120377119. Green open access

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Abstract

This initiative examined systematically the extent to which a large set of archival research findings generalizes across contexts. We repeated the key analyses for 29 original strategic management effects in the same context (direct reproduction) as well as in 52 novel time periods and geographies; 45% of the reproductions returned results matching the original reports together with 55% of tests in different spans of years and 40% of tests in novel geographies. Some original findings were associated with multiple new tests. Reproducibility was the best predictor of generalizability—for the findings that proved directly reproducible, 84% emerged in other available time periods and 57% emerged in other geographies. Overall, only limited empirical evidence emerged for context sensitivity. In a forecasting survey, independent scientists were able to anticipate which effects would find support in tests in new samples.

Type: Article
Title: Examining the generalizability of research findings from archival data
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2120377119
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2120377119
Language: English
Additional information: This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Keywords: Research reliability, generalizability, archival data, reproducibility, context sensitivity
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10152565
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