Audia, C;
Visman, E;
Fox, G;
Mwangi, E;
Kilavi, M;
Arango, M;
Ayeb-Karlsson, S;
(2021)
Decision-Making Heuristics for Managing Climate-Related Risks: Introducing Equity to the FREE Framework.
In: Conway, Declan and Vincent, Katharine, (eds.)
Climate Risk in Africa.
(pp. 57-76).
Springer: Cham, Switzerland.
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Abstract
Managing climate-related risks is clouded in differing levels of uncertainty that are magnified when trying to understand their potential impacts on socio-ecological systems. The ‘cascade of uncertainty’ is particularly apparent in Africa where socio-ecological data are sparse, and the development and validation of impact models are at varying stages. In this context, using heuristics may serve as an effective way for policy makers to incorporate climate change knowledge into decision-making. Previous scholarship has identified the principles of Flexibility, Robustness and Economic low/no regrets in decision-making under uncertainty. In this chapter, we first make the case for adding Equity to these heuristics, where equity involves ensuring that reducing the climate change risk for one cohort of society does not result in its increase for another. Second, we describe how these principles have been applied under two DFID/NERC funded projects: ForPAc and AMMA-2050 through the use of Participatory Impact Pathways Analysis tools.
| Type: | Book chapter |
|---|---|
| Title: | Decision-Making Heuristics for Managing Climate-Related Risks: Introducing Equity to the FREE Framework |
| ISBN-13: | 9783030611590 |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1007/978-3-030-61160-6_4 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61160-6_4 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | © The Author(s) 2021 Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this chapter are included in the chapter's Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the chapter's Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. |
| Keywords: | Climate change, Heuristics, Uncertainty, Equity, Decision-making |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Inst for Risk and Disaster Reduction |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10141525 |
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