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Is Green Recovery Enough? Analysing the Impacts of Post-COVID-19 Economic Packages

Rochedo, PRR; Fragkos, P; Garaffa, R; Couto, LC; Baptista, LB; Cunha, BSL; Schaeffer, R; (2021) Is Green Recovery Enough? Analysing the Impacts of Post-COVID-19 Economic Packages. Energies , 14 (17) , Article 5567. 10.3390/en14175567. Green open access

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Abstract

Emissions pathways after COVID-19 will be shaped by how governments’ economic responses translate into infrastructure expansion, energy use, investment planning and societal changes. As a response to the COVID-19 crisis, most governments worldwide launched recovery packages aiming to boost their economies, support employment and enhance their competitiveness. Climate action is pledged to be embedded in most of these packages, but with sharp differences across countries. This paper provides novel evidence on the energy system and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions implications of post-COVID-19 recovery packages by assessing the gap between pledged recovery packages and the actual investment needs of the energy transition to reach the Paris Agreement goals. Using two well-established Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) and analysing various scenarios combining recovery packages and climate policies, we conclude that currently planned recovery from COVID-19 is not enough to enhance societal responses to climate urgency and that it should be significantly upscaled and prolonged to ensure compatibility with the Paris Agreement goals

Type: Article
Title: Is Green Recovery Enough? Analysing the Impacts of Post-COVID-19 Economic Packages
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.3390/en14175567
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.3390/en14175567
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited
Keywords: COVID-19; economic recovery; stimulus packages; climate scenarios; integrated assessment modelling
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10140467
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