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Beyond disaster vulnerabilities: An empirical investigation of the causal pathways linking conflict to disaster risks

Peters, LER; (2021) Beyond disaster vulnerabilities: An empirical investigation of the causal pathways linking conflict to disaster risks. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction , 55 , Article 102092. 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102092. Green open access

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Abstract

From Afghanistan to Zimbabwe, we see evidence of an ever tighter coupling between natural hazard-related disasters (“disasters”) and violent social conflict (“conflict”), but scholarship often focuses on conflict only as a consequence and not a driver of disaster. Disaster studies scholarship has established that conflict can create or exacerbate disaster vulnerabilities and that disasters and their impacts are concentrated in conflict-affected and fragile contexts. Yet, research at the intersection of disaster and conflict has not comprehensively investigated the causal mechanisms that lead from conflict to disaster beyond the creation of vulnerabilities, and in global policy and practice, conflict is conventionally considered outside the purview of disaster risk reduction (DRR). To better understand how conflict drives disaster risk, this research gathers qualitative empirical evidence from 32 in-depth interviews with DRR experts in 25 conflict-affected countries across South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa experiencing diverse internal conflict conditions, from violent protests to civil war. The findings show that conflicts do not just comprise the context for disasters, but also contribute to disaster risk creation and amplification through diverse causal pathways related to hazards, exposure, vulnerabilities, and coping capacities, and do so at multiple institutional and temporal scales. This research provides a new foundation built on DRR practitioner expertise for more comprehensive and targeted DRR strategies and approaches in conflict-affected regions with the goal of ensuring that those experiencing the disaster-conflict nexus are not left behind by DRR programming.

Type: Article
Title: Beyond disaster vulnerabilities: An empirical investigation of the causal pathways linking conflict to disaster risks
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102092
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102092
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Disaster risk reduction, Disaster knowledge, Disaster response, Fragility, War, Violence
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Inst for Risk and Disaster Reduction
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10123913
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