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Patients with severe acute‐on‐chronic liver failure are disadvantaged by model for end‐stage liver disease‐based organ allocation policy

Sundaram, V; Shah, P; Mahmud, N; Lindenmeyer, CC; Klein, AS; Wong, RJ; Karvellas, CJ; ... Jalan, R; + view all (2020) Patients with severe acute‐on‐chronic liver failure are disadvantaged by model for end‐stage liver disease‐based organ allocation policy. Alimentary Pharmacology and Therapeutics , 52 (7) pp. 1204-1213. 10.1111/apt.15988. Green open access

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Abstract

Background: Mortality for patients with acute‐on‐chronic liver failure (ACLF) may be underestimated by the model for end‐stage liver disease‐sodium (MELD‐Na) score. / Aim: To assess waitlist outcomes across varying grades of ACLF among a cohort of patients listed with a MELD‐Na score ≥35, and therefore having similar priority for liver transplantation. / Methods: We analysed the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database, years 2010‐2017. Waitlist outcomes were evaluated using Fine and Gray's competing risks regression. / Results: We identified 6342 candidates at listing with a MELD‐Na score ≥35, of whom 3122 had ACLF‐3. Extra‐hepatic organ failures were present primarily in patients with four to six organ failures. Competing risks regression revealed that candidates listed with ACLF‐3 had a significantly higher risk for 90‐day waitlist mortality (Sub‐hazard ratio (SHR) = 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12‐1.78) relative to patients with lower ACLF grades. Subgroup analysis of ACLF‐3 revealed that both the presence of three organ failures (SHR = 1.40, 95% CI 1.20‐1.63) or four to six organ failures at listing (SHR = 3.01; 95% CI 2.54‐3.58) was associated with increased waitlist death. Candidates with four to six organ failures also had the lowest likelihood of receiving liver transplantation (SHR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.54‐0.68). The Share 35 rule was associated with reduced 90‐day waitlist mortality among the full cohort of patients listed with ACLF‐3 and MELD‐Na score ≥35 (SHR = 0.59; 95% CI 0.49‐0.70). However, Share 35 rule implementation was not associated with reduced waitlist mortality among patients with four to six organ failures (SHR = 0.76; 95% CI 0.58‐1.02). / Conclusion: The MELD‐Na score disadvantages patients with ACLF‐3, both with and without extra‐hepatic organ failures. Incorporation of organ failures into allocation policy warrants further exploration.

Type: Article
Title: Patients with severe acute‐on‐chronic liver failure are disadvantaged by model for end‐stage liver disease‐based organ allocation policy
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/apt.15988
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.15988
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine > Inst for Liver and Digestive Hlth
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10109003
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