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The dual-process theory and understanding of stocks and flows

Baghaei Lakeh, A; Ghaffarzadegan, N; (2016) The dual-process theory and understanding of stocks and flows. System Dynamics Review , 32 (3-4) pp. 309-331. 10.1002/sdr.1566. Green open access

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Abstract

Recent evidence suggests that using the analytic mode of thinking (System 2) can improve people's performance in stock–flow (SF) tasks. In this paper, we further investigate the effects by implementing several different interventions in two studies. First, we replicate a previous finding that answering analytical questions before the SF task approximately doubles the likelihood of answering the stock questions correctly. We also investigate effects of three other interventions that can potentially prime participants to use their System 2. Specifically, the first group is asked to justify their response to the SF task; the second group is warned about the difficulty of the SF task; and the third group is offered information about cognitive biases and the role of the analytic mode of thinking. We find that the second group showed a statistically significant improvement in their performance. We claim that there are simple interventions that can modestly improve people's response in SF tasks. Copyright © 2017 System Dynamics Society.

Type: Article
Title: The dual-process theory and understanding of stocks and flows
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/sdr.1566
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1566
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2017 System Dynamics Society. This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10058667
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