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A Comparative Test of the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory: Policy Punctuations in Tobacco Control

Vannoni, M; (2019) A Comparative Test of the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory: Policy Punctuations in Tobacco Control. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice , 21 (4) pp. 350-365. 10.1080/13876988.2018.1492675. Green open access

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Abstract

Tobacco control plays a central role in the development of the punctuated equilibrium theory. The proponents of the theory posit that this policy, like many others, develops through punctuations, namely the combination of periods of policy inertia, due to negative feedback effects, and drastic policy change, due to positive feedback effects. Yet little has been done to empirically test this claim. By relying on a unique dataset of policy changes in tobacco taxation and regulation across multiple countries over the last decades, the article tests the punctuation hypothesis in tobacco control. Findings show that tobacco control evolves through long periods of policy inertia, followed by short periods of drastic change, namely punctuations, thus providing further support for the punctuated equilibrium theory. This article presents the first large-N test of the punctuated equilibrium theory on tobacco control.

Type: Article
Title: A Comparative Test of the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory: Policy Punctuations in Tobacco Control
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/13876988.2018.1492675
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/13876988.2018.1492675
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: tobacco control, punctuations, punctuated equilibrium theory, comparative public policy
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10050532
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