Chainey, S; (2012) JDI Briefs: Predictive mapping (predictive policing). (JDI Briefs ). UCL Jill Dando Institute of Security and Crime Science, University College London: London, UK.

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Abstract

This briefing note provides details of the predictive mapping approach initially implemented in Trafford, Greater Manchester, drawing from research from the UCL Jill Dando Institute of Security and Crime Science. It also describes a refinement to the original processes adopted in Trafford after an evaluative analysis and site visits. The initial focus in Greater Manchester has been on residential burglary. This predictive mapping is now being extended to other types of crimes such as pedal cycle theft, vehicle crime and street robbery. The approach uses standard technology available to police and community safety agencies, and in Trafford’s case the responses have made use of existing resources. The briefing note describes the theory that underpins the predictive mapping approach, analysis that should be conducted, police and local partner response opportunities, results from Trafford, and practical considerations. The final section lists a number of resources for further information.

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