Coyle, K;
Coyle, D;
Lester-George, A;
West, R;
Nemeth, B;
Hiligsmann, M;
Trapero-Bertran, M;
... EQUIPT Study Group; + view all
(2017)
Development and Application of an Economic Model (EQUIPTMOD) to assess the Impact of Smoking Cessation.
Addiction
10.1111/add.14001.
(In press).
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Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although clear benefits are associated with reducing smoking, there is increasing pressure on public health providers to justify investment in tobacco control measures. Decision makers need tools to assess the return on investment (ROI)/cost effectiveness of programs. The EQUIPT project adapted an ROI tool for England to four European countries (Germany, Netherlands, Spain and Hungary). EQUIPTMOD, the economic model at the core of the ROI tool, is designed to assess the efficiency of packages of smoking cessation interventions. The objective of this paper is to describe the methods for EQUIPTMOD and identify key outcomes associated with continued and cessation of smoking. METHODS: EQUIPTMOD uses a Markov model to estimate lifetime costs, quality adjusted life years (QALYs) and life years associated with a current and former smoker. It uses population data on smoking prevalence, disease prevalence, mortality and the impact of smoking combined with associated costs and utility effects of disease. To illustrate the tool's potential, costs, QALYs and life expectancy were estimated for the average current smoker for five countries based on the assumptions that they continue and that they cease smoking over the next 12 months. Costs and effects were discounted at country specific rates. RESULTS: For illustration, over a lifetime horizon, not quitting smoking within the next 12 months in England will reduce life expectancy by 0.66, reduce QALYs by 1.09 and result in £4,961 higher disease related health care costs - than if the smoker ceased smoking in the next 12 months. For all age-sex categories, costs were lower and QALYs higher for those who quit smoking in the twelve months than those who continued. CONCLUSIONS: EQUIPTMOD facilitates assessment of the cost effectiveness of smoking cessation strategies. The demonstrated results indicate large potential benefits from smoking cessation at both an individual and population level.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Development and Application of an Economic Model (EQUIPTMOD) to assess the Impact of Smoking Cessation |
| Location: | England |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1111/add.14001 |
| Publisher version: | http://doi.org/10.1111/add.14001 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | Copyright © 2017 The Authors. Addiction published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society for the Study of Addiction. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Keywords: | Markov model, cost-effectiveness, return on investment, smoking cessation, tobacco |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health > Behavioural Science and Health |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1571213 |
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