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The Long-term Effects of Early Track Choice

Dustmann, C; Puhani, PA; Schönberg, U; (2017) The Long-term Effects of Early Track Choice. The Economic Journal , 127 (603) pp. 1348-1380. 10.1111/ecoj.12419. Green open access

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Abstract

We investigate the effects of attending a more advanced track in middle school on long-term education and labour market outcomes for Germany, a country with a rigorous early-age tracking system, where the risk of misallocating students is particularly high. Our research design exploits quasi-random shifts between tracks induced by date of birth, and speaks to the long-term effects of early track attendance for a group of marginal students most at risk of misallocation. Remarkably, we find no evidence that attending a more advanced track leads to more favourable long-term outcomes. We attribute this result to the possibility of later track-reversal.

Type: Article
Title: The Long-term Effects of Early Track Choice
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/ecoj.12419
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12419
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1561127
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