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The PC Industry: New Economy or Early Life-Cycle?

Mazzucato, M; (2002) The PC Industry: New Economy or Early Life-Cycle? Review of Economic Dynamics , 5 (2) pp. 318-345. 10.1006/redy.2002.0164. Green open access

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Abstract

The paper studies the co-evolution of industrial turbulence and financial volatility in the early phase of the life-cycle of an old high-tech industry and a new high-tech industry: the U.S. auto industry from 1899–1929 and the U.S. PC industry from 1974–2000. In both industries, the first three decades were characterized by industrial turbulence: radical technological change, high entry and exit rates, and rapidly falling prices. However, unlike in the auto industry, in the PC industry technological change and new entry did not lead to strong instability of market shares—at the core of the monopoly-destroying effect of Schumpeterian creative destruction—until the 1990s, when the lead of the incumbents from the pre-existing mainframe and minicomputer industries was undermined. In both industries, stock prices were the most volatile and idiosyncratic during those years in which technological change disrupted market shares the most (Autos: 1918–1928; PCs: 1990–2000). Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: L11, 030, G12.

Type: Article
Title: The PC Industry: New Economy or Early Life-Cycle?
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1006/redy.2002.0164
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1006/redy.2002.0164
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2002 Elsevier Science (USA). All rights reserved. This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Industry life-cycle; new economy; technological change; risk; stock price volatility
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Inst for Innovation and Public Purpose
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1553096
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