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Determinants of time from HIV infection to linkage-to-care in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Maheu-Giroux, M; Tanser, F; Boily, M-C; Pillay, D; Joseph, SA; Baernighausen, T; (2017) Determinants of time from HIV infection to linkage-to-care in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. AIDS , 31 (7) pp. 1017-1024. 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001435. Green open access

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Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To estimate time from HIV infection to linkage-to-care and its determinants. Linkage-to-care is usually assessed using the date of HIV diagnosis as the starting point for exposure time. However, timing of diagnosis is likely endogenous to linkage, leading to bias in linkage estimation. DESIGN: We used longitudinal HIV serosurvey data from a large population-based HIV incidence cohort in KwaZulu-Natal (2004–2013) to estimate time of HIV infection. We linked these data to patient records from a public-sector HIV treatment and care program to determine time from infection to linkage (defined using the date of the first CD4+ cell count). METHODS: We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate time from infection to linkage and the effects of the following covariates on this time: sex, age, education, food security, socioeconomic status, area of residence, distance to clinics, knowledge of HIV status, and whether other household members have initiated antiretroviral therapy. RESULTS: We estimated that it would take an average of 4.9 years for 50% of HIV seroconverters to be linked to care (95% confidence intervals: 4.2–5.7). Among all cohort members who were linked to care, the median CD4+ cell count at linkage was 350 cells/µl (95% confidence interval: 330–380). Men and participants aged less than 30 years were found to have the slowest rates of linkage-to-care. Time to linkage became shorter over calendar time. CONCLUSION: Average time from HIV infection to linkage-to-care is long and needs to be reduced to ensure that HIV treatment-as-prevention policies are effective. Targeted interventions for men and young individuals have the largest potential to improve linkage rates.

Type: Article
Title: Determinants of time from HIV infection to linkage-to-care in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001435
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/QAD.0000000000001435
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Immunology, Infectious Diseases, Virology, care continuum, CD4(+) cell count, HIV/AIDS, linkage-to-care, sex, treatment cascade, treatment-as-prevention, ANTIRETROVIRAL TREATMENT PROGRAM, PROSPECTIVE COHORT, SCALE-UP, THERAPY, INITIATION, MORTALITY, ART, PROFILE, DURBAN, INCOME
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Infection and Immunity
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1544773
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