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A Puzzle about Knowing Condtionals

Rothschild, DH; Spectre, L; (2018) A Puzzle about Knowing Condtionals. Nous , 52 (2) pp. 473-478. 10.1111/nous.12183. Green open access

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Abstract

We present a puzzle about knowledge, probability and conditionals. We show that in certain cases some basic and plausible principles governing our reasoning come into conflict. In particular, we show that there is a simple argument that a person may be in a position to know a conditional the consequent of which has a low probability conditional on its antecedent, contra Adams’ Thesis. We suggest that the puzzle motivates a very strong restriction on the inference of a conditional from a disjunction.

Type: Article
Title: A Puzzle about Knowing Condtionals
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/nous.12183
Publisher version: http://doi.org/10.1111/nous.12183
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Rothschild, D. and Spectre, L. (2016), A Puzzle about Knowing Conditionals. Noûs, which has been published in final form at 10.1111/nous.12183. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of Arts and Humanities > Dept of Philosophy
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1508442
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