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Endogenous transformation of exogenous effects in a system dynamics model of heating, ventilation and rebound

Zimmermann, NS; Chiu, LF; Bobrova, Y; Chalabi, Z; (2016) Endogenous transformation of exogenous effects in a system dynamics model of heating, ventilation and rebound. In: 34th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society 2016. (pp. pp. 2529-2544). System Dynamics Society: Delft, Netherlands. Green open access

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Abstract

Energy efficiency measures do not fully translate into energy consumption reductions because occupants increase their dwellings' internal temperatures rather than only reducing energy bills. This effect, known as the rebound effect, has been empirically confirmed and is usually attributed to occupants’ increase of thermal comfort. Based on system dynamics modelling, we offer a different and complementary explanation that shows how rebound may occur when occupants feel thermally comfortable throughout. The interaction of their desired behaviour with other practices, such as cooking, explains how shifts in their desired temperature may occur. We thus contribute to the understanding of domestic practices related to energy efficiency and rebound. In addition, our study shows how rebound occurs through the transformation of exogenous inputs through endogenous feedback mechanisms. While system dynamics emphasises continuous modelling and endogeneity, our study thus also motivates future research into the analysis of the endogenous transformation of time-varying inputs in system dynamics.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Endogenous transformation of exogenous effects in a system dynamics model of heating, ventilation and rebound
Event: 34th Internactional Conference of the System Dynamics Society
Location: Delft, Netherlands
Dates: 18 July 2016 - 21 July 2016
ISBN-13: 978-1-5108-3020-2
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: http://www.proceedings.com/31846.html
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: System dynamics, rebound, internal temperature, heating, ventilation, energy efficiency, retrofit, endogeneity, time-varying inputs, heterogeneous models
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1507946
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