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Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community

Holtz, G; Alkemade, F; De Haan, F; Köhler, J; Trutnevyte, E; Luthe, T; Halbe, J; ... Ruutu, S; + view all (2015) Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions , 17 pp. 41-58. 10.1016/j.eist.2015.05.006. Green open access

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Abstract

Societal transitions involve multiple actors, changes in institutions, values and technologies, and interactions across multiple sectors and scales. Given this complexity, this paper takes on the view that the societal transitions research field would benefit from the further maturation and broader uptake of modelling approaches. This paper shows how modelling can enhance the understanding of and support stakeholders to steer societal transitions. It discusses the benefits modelling provides for studying large societal systems and elaborates on different ways models can be used for transitions studies. Two model applications are presented in some detail to illustrate the benefits. Then, limitations of modelling societal transitions are discussed, which leads to an agenda for future activities: (1) better cooperation in the development of dynamic models, (2) stronger interaction with other transition scholars and stakeholders, and (3) use of additional modelling approaches that we think are relevant to and largely unexplored in transitions studies.

Type: Article
Title: Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.eist.2015.05.006
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2015.05.006
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Keywords: Complex system; Formal model; Simulation; Societal transition; Socio-technical
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1502271
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