UCL Discovery
UCL home » Library Services » Electronic resources » UCL Discovery

Counterterrorism Killings and Provisional IRA Bombings, 1970-1998

Gill, P; Piazza, J; Horgan, J; (2016) Counterterrorism Killings and Provisional IRA Bombings, 1970-1998. Terrorism and Political Violence , 28 (3) pp. 473-496. 10.1080/09546553.2016.1155932. Green open access

[thumbnail of Gill_5) Counterterrorism Killings and Provisional IRA Bombings.pdf]
Preview
Text
Gill_5) Counterterrorism Killings and Provisional IRA Bombings.pdf

Download (332kB) | Preview

Abstract

Counterterrorism strategies involving the killing of terrorists are a prominently used but controversial practice. Proponents argue that such strategies are useful tools for reducing terrorist activity, while critics question their effectiveness. This paper provides empirical insight into this strategy by conducting a series of negative binomial regression and Tobit estimations of the impact of killing Provisional Irish Republican Army (PIRA) terrorists as well as members of the Catholic community on counts of PIRA bombings and targeting activity in Northern Ireland for the period 1970-1998. We consider the impact of discriminate and indiscriminate killings (where only PIRA militants are killed versus those in which both militants and civilians are also killed) on subsequent PIRA IED attacks. Our findings illustrate that while total and discriminate counterterrorism killings have little to no effect on PIRA IED attacks, indiscriminate counterterrorism killings increased PIRA bombings overall and prompted the Provisional IRA to specifically target civilians in IED events. We conclude by discussing the scholarly and policy implications of these findings.

Type: Article
Title: Counterterrorism Killings and Provisional IRA Bombings, 1970-1998
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/09546553.2016.1155932
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2016.1155932
Language: English
Additional information: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Terrorism and Political Violence on 19 April 2016, available online: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2016.1155932
Keywords: Terrorism, Provisional IRA, Counterterrorism, Northern Ireland
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1477465
Downloads since deposit
573Downloads
Download activity - last month
Download activity - last 12 months
Downloads by country - last 12 months

Archive Staff Only

View Item View Item