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Education choices in Mexico: using a structural model and a randomised experiment to evaluate PROGRESA

Attanasio, O.; Meghir, C.; Santiago, A.; (2005) Education choices in Mexico: using a structural model and a randomised experiment to evaluate PROGRESA. (IFS Working Papers WP05/0). Institute for Fiscal Studies: London, UK. Green open access

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Abstract

In this paper we evaluate the effect of a large welfare program in rural Mexico. For such a purpose we use an evaluation sample that includes a number of villages where the program was not implemented for evaluation purposes. We estimate a structural model of education choices and argue that without such a framework it is impossible to evaluate the effect of the program and, especially, possible changes to its structure. We also argue that the randomized component of the data allows us to identify a more flexible model that is better suited to evaluate the program. We find that the program has a positive effect on the enrollment of children, especially after primary school. We also find that an approximately revenue neutral change in the program that would increase the grant for secondary school children while eliminating for the primary school children would have a substantially larger effect on enrollment of the latter, while having minor effects on the former.

Type: Working / discussion paper
Title: Education choices in Mexico: using a structural model and a randomised experiment to evaluate PROGRESA
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: http://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/3360
Language: English
Additional information: Revised version of an earlier paper. Please see http://eprints.ucl.ac.uk/14750/ for earlier version
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/14748
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