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A predictable outcome

Baio, G; Cerina, R; (2015) A predictable outcome. Significance , 12 (2) pp. 11-13. 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x. Green open access

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Abstract

Gianluca Baio and Roberto Cerina used a modified version of a dynamic Bayesian forecasting model to "predict" the 2014 US Senate elections. The results bode well for the 2016 vote.

Type: Article
Title: A predictable outcome
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x
Language: English
Additional information: This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Baio, G. and Cerina, R. (2015), A predictable outcome. Significance, 12: 11–13., which has been published in final form at doi: 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1470383
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