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Past trends for the UK Energy Scenarios: How close are their predictions to reality?

Zafeiratou, E; Spataru, C; (2014) Past trends for the UK Energy Scenarios: How close are their predictions to reality? Presented at: 6th International Conference on Sustainability in Energy and Buildings, SEB-14, Cardiff, Wales, UK. Green open access

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Abstract

This study provides an exploration of the future energy trends in the UK by assessing existing energy scenarios studies and their predictions compared with actual data. The criteria for inclusion were to be national in scope, backcasting and comprehensive (covering the electricity sector). The importance of assessing the historic energy system projections could conduct us to improvements in future energy scenarios. The three studies considered relate to the same four factors: growth indicators, fuel prices, new installations and power stations retirement. The scenarios review revealed several common and different themes although all were developed under the same national targets.

Type: Conference item (UNSPECIFIED)
Title: Past trends for the UK Energy Scenarios: How close are their predictions to reality?
Event: 6th International Conference on Sustainability in Energy and Buildings, SEB-14
Location: Cardiff, Wales, UK
Dates: 25 - 27 June 2014
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.egypro.2014.12.406
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivativeWorks 3.0 license. You are free to share (copy, distribute and transmit the work), but you must attribute the author, you may not use this work for commercial purposes and you may not alter, transform, or build upon this work and distribute any derivative works you create under a similar license. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1470361
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