Sikk, A; Koeker, P; (2015) Candidate Turnover and Party System Change in Central and Eastern Europe. Presented at: Party System Stability and Electoral Volatility: Its Measurement and Implications, Nottingham.

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Abstract

All estimates of party system change rely on coding decisions regarding the categorization of parties as old or new. However, such dichotomous coding is insensitive to links between new parties and previously existing ones or extensive internal change in old parties. This paper looks at an important but so far understudied indicator of internal party change – the turnover of electoral candidates. Turnover is analysed in 55 elections in Central and Eastern Europe – a region with high levels of internal change in established parties and frequent new parties with links to established ones. We contrast the findings on electoral candidate turnover to volatility scores reported in previous studies. We also identify important cases of: (a) new parties that are only moderately novel, (b) old parties that underwent a significant internal change and (c) parties that were neither old nor new. The last category of partially novel parties pose most acute problems for the indices of party system change.

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