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Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers for capital allocation under copula-dependent risk models

Targino, RS; Peters, GW; Shevchenko, PV; (2015) Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers for capital allocation under copula-dependent risk models. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics , 61 206 - 226. 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.01.007. Green open access

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Abstract

In this paper we assume a multivariate risk model has been developed for a portfolio and its capital derived as a homogeneous risk measure. The Euler (or gradient) principle, then, states that the capital to be allocated to each component of the portfolio has to be calculated as an expectation conditional to a rare event, which can be challenging to evaluate in practice. We exploit the copula-dependence within the portfolio risks to design a Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers based estimate to the marginal conditional expectations involved in the problem, showing its efficiency through a series of computational examples.

Type: Article
Title: Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers for capital allocation under copula-dependent risk models
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.01.007
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.01.007
Additional information: Copyright © 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Risk management; Capital allocation; Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC); Copula models; Euler allocation.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1460851
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