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A Bayesian partial identification approach to inferring the prevalence of accounting misconduct

Hahn, PR; Murray, JS; Manolopoulou, I; (2016) A Bayesian partial identification approach to inferring the prevalence of accounting misconduct. Journal of the American Statistical Association , 111 (513) pp. 14-26. 10.1080/01621459.2015.1084307. Green open access

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Abstract

This paper describes the use of flexible Bayesian regression models for estimating a partially identified probability function. Our approach permits efficient sensitivity analysis concerning the posterior impact of priors on the partially identified component of the regression model. The new methodology is illustrated on an important problem where only partially observed data is available - inferring the prevalence of accounting misconduct among publicly traded U.S. businesses.

Type: Article
Title: A Bayesian partial identification approach to inferring the prevalence of accounting misconduct
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2015.1084307
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2015.1084307
Language: English
Additional information: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in the Journal of the American Statistical Association on 5 May 2016, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/01621459.2015.1084307.
Keywords: Bayesian inference, nonlinear regression, partial identification, sampling bias, sensitivity analysis, set identification
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Statistical Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1436784
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