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From Sick Man of Europe to Economic Superstar: Germany's Resurgent Economy

Dustmann, C; Fitzenberger, B; Schönberg, U; Spitz-Oener, A; (2014) From Sick Man of Europe to Economic Superstar: Germany's Resurgent Economy. Journal of Economic Perspectives , 28 (1) pp. 167-188. 10.1257/jep.28.1.167. Green open access

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Abstract

In the late 1990s and into the early 2000s, Germany was often called "the sick man of Europe." Indeed, Germany's economic growth averaged only about 1.2 percent per year from 1998 to 2005, including a recession in 2003, and unemployment rates rose from 9.2 percent in 1998 to 11.1 percent in 2005. Today, after the Great Recession, Germany is described as an "economic superstar." In contrast to most of its European neighbors and the United States, Germany experienced almost no increase in unemployment during the Great Recession, despite a sharp decline in GDP in 2008 and 2009. Germany's exports reached an all-time record of $1.738 trillion in 2011, which is roughly equal to half of Germany's GDP, or 7.7 percent of world exports. Even the euro crisis seems not to have been able to stop Germany's strengthening economy and employment. How did Germany, with the fourth-largest GDP in the world transform itself from "the sick man of Europe" to an "economic superstar" in less than a decade? We present evidence that the specific governance structure of the German labor market institutions allowed them to react flexibly in a time of extraordinary economic circumstances, and that this distinctive characteristic of its labor market institutions has been the main reason for Germany's economic success over the last decade.

Type: Article
Title: From Sick Man of Europe to Economic Superstar: Germany's Resurgent Economy
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1257/jep.28.1.167
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.1.167
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1413698
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