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Spatial, Temporal and Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Maritime Piracy

Marchione, E; Johnson, SD; (2013) Spatial, Temporal and Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Maritime Piracy. JOURNAL OF RESEARCH IN CRIME AND DELINQUENCY , 50 (4) 504 - 524. 10.1177/0022427812469113. Green open access

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Abstract

Objectives: To examine patterns in the timing and location of incidents of maritime piracy to see whether, like many urban crimes, attacks cluster in space and time. Methods: Data for all incidents of maritime piracy worldwide recorded by the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency are analyzed using time-series models and methods originally developed to detect disease contagion. Results: At the macro level, analyses suggest that incidents of pirate attacks are concentrated in five subregions of the earth’s oceans and that the time series for these different subregions differ. At the micro level, analyses suggest that for the last 16 years (or more), pirate attacks appear to cluster in space and time suggesting that patterns are not static but are also not random. Conclusions: Much like other types of crime, pirate attacks cluster in space, and following an attack at one location the risk of others at the same location or nearby is temporarily elevated. The identification of such regularities has implications for the understanding of maritime piracy and for predicting the future locations of attacks.

Type: Article
Title: Spatial, Temporal and Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Maritime Piracy
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/0022427812469113
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022427812469113
Additional information: © The Author(s) 2013. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License (http://www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/) which permits any use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access page (http://www.uk.sagepub.com/aboutus/openaccess.htm).
Keywords: prevention, crime, victimization, quantitative research, research methods
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1387529
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