UCL Discovery
UCL home » Library Services » Electronic resources » UCL Discovery

Routine surveillance data on AIDS and HIV infections in the UK: a description of the data available and their use for short-term planning

Tillett, H; Galbraith, NS; Overton, SE; Porter, K; (1988) Routine surveillance data on AIDS and HIV infections in the UK: a description of the data available and their use for short-term planning. Epidemiology and Infection , 100 (1) 157 - 169. 10.1017/S0950268800065651. Green open access

[img]
Preview
PDF
download2.pdf
Available under License : See the attached licence file.

Download (1MB)

Abstract

In the UK surveillance of AIDS and HIV infection is based on routine reporting systems. Whilst attempts are made to ensure that AIDS data are as complete as possible, numbers of reports fluctuate from month to month for reasons which are described. In 1986 there was an increase in death certificates naming AIDS as a cause of death in patients who were not identifiable in the surveillance data. More active surveillance is now undertaken in order to minimize this and other possible discrepancies. It is probable that most cases of AIDS are reported and therefore these data can be used to describe trends in the epidemic by 'risk group'. Laboratory reports of HIV antibody-positive tests could give an earlier indication of trends because of the long incubation period of AIDS. But these laboratory data are difficult to interpret because they represent an incomplete and biased sample of all positive persons. AIDS cases are still being reported at a rate which is increasing approximately exponentially. Short-term predictions are presented showing a growth in the epidemic which is consistent with previously published predictions. Most cases are in the homosexual risk group. New asymptomatic homosexual patients with HIV antibody are still being identified. The epidemic of AIDS in haemophilia patients should be of finite size although new cases of AIDS are likely to continue to be diagnosed for several years. AIDS due to blood transfusion given in the UK before donor screening appears to be a much smaller epidemic. The epidemic in drug abusers is increasing. Heterosexually acquired AIDS and HIV infections are being reported in small but increasing numbers.

Type: Article
Title: Routine surveillance data on AIDS and HIV infections in the UK: a description of the data available and their use for short-term planning
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268800065651
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268800065651
Language: English
Additional information: © 1988 Cambridge University Press
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute for Global Health
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/1328766
Downloads since deposit
112Downloads
Download activity - last month
Download activity - last 12 months
Downloads by country - last 12 months

Archive Staff Only

View Item View Item