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Combining target trial emulation and qualitative research to understand the effect of health visiting on child hospital admissions in England

Bunting, Catherine; Clery, Amanda; Cassidy, Rebecca; Saloniki, Eirini-Christina; Kendall, Sally; Grath-Lone, Louise Mc; Woodman, Jenny; (2025) Combining target trial emulation and qualitative research to understand the effect of health visiting on child hospital admissions in England. American Journal of Epidemiology , Article kwaf207. 10.1093/aje/kwaf207. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Health visiting is a complex public health intervention in which specialist nurses work with families to support the healthy development of children up to five years of age. Using routinely collected administrative health data, we emulated a target trial to estimate the effect of enhanced health visiting services on potentially avoidable hospital admissions for children born in 10 local areas in England between 2016 and 2019. We found that receiving additional support from the health visiting team in the early weeks of life was associated with an increased odds of a child experiencing a potentially avoidable hospitalisation (OR = 1.28, 95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.60). Health visiting may encourage families to seek secondary health care, for example by building confidence in public services or heightening parental anxiety about the risks of childhood health conditions. However, qualitative research and sensitivity analyses indicated that our effect estimate may have been subject to residual confounding, selection bias or both. An in-depth understanding of the intervention and the mechanisms through which treatments are assigned is essential for generating valid estimates of causal effects.

Type: Article
Title: Combining target trial emulation and qualitative research to understand the effect of health visiting on child hospital admissions in England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf207
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwaf207
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © The Author(s) 2025. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Target trial emulation, public health, mixed methods, health visiting
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Social Research Institute
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > UCL GOS Institute of Child Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > UCL GOS Institute of Child Health > Population, Policy and Practice Dept
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10214693
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