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Prognostic factors of early mortality in children and adolescents with relapsed/refractory solid tumors participating in dose-finding trials in the targeted and immune therapies era: An ITCC study

Carceller, Fernando; Bautista, Francisco; Van Tinteren, Harm; Castañeda, Alicia; Surun, Aurore; Wasti, Ajla; Revon-Rivière, Gabriel; ... Frappaz, Didier; + view all (2025) Prognostic factors of early mortality in children and adolescents with relapsed/refractory solid tumors participating in dose-finding trials in the targeted and immune therapies era: An ITCC study. European Journal of Cancer , 227 , Article 115627. 10.1016/j.ejca.2025.115627.

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Abstract

Introduction: Phase I/II trials are essential to introduce novel agents for children with cancer. Defining risk factors of early mortality could maximize the efficiency of such trials. / / Methods: Patients < 18 years with relapsed/refractory solid tumors in their first phase I/II trial were eligible in retrospect. Mortality at 30 and 90 days on treatment (30-DM, 90-DM) were calculated. Clinical/laboratory parameters and adult prognostic scores (Royal Marsden Hospital -RMH-, MD Anderson Cancer Center -MDACC-) were assessed at baseline and correlated with 90-DM (univariate analysis, logistic regression) to devise a pediatric-specific prognostic score (ITCC). / / Results: N = 507. Median age 11.6 years (range 0.5–17.9); 45 % females. 30-DM and 90-DM (95 %CI) were 4.7 % (3.1–7.0 %) and 22.9 % (19.3–26.8 %), respectively. RMH (n = 348) and MDACC (n = 345) scores correlated with 90-DM (p < 0.001). Performance status ≤ 80 %, no school attendance and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) above normal levels strongly correlated with higher 90-DM, constituting the ITCC score (1 point each). The 90-DM with ITCC score (n = 306) of 0, 1, 2 and 3 was 2.7 %, 10.7 %, 36.4 % and 80.0 %, respectively. Odds ratios (95 %CI) for 90-DM with 1, 2 and 3 points were 4.23 (1.28–19.1); 20.0 (6.55–87.4); and 140 (37.4–720), respectively. Among patients with predicted risk of 90-DM ≥ 75 %, those who ultimately died within 90 days represented 1.4 % (RMH, MDACC) versus 7.8 % (ITCC) of the sample; p < 0.001. / / Conclusions: The early mortality rates reported here will serve as a reference for future phase I/II trials. Risk scoring based on performance status, school attendance and LDH levels can estimate 90-DM in oncology phase I/II trials.

Type: Article
Title: Prognostic factors of early mortality in children and adolescents with relapsed/refractory solid tumors participating in dose-finding trials in the targeted and immune therapies era: An ITCC study
Location: England
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejca.2025.115627
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejca.2025.115627
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author-accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Children, Pediatric, Cancer, Phase I, Clinical trial, Mortality
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > UCL GOS Institute of Child Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > UCL GOS Institute of Child Health > Developmental Biology and Cancer Dept
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10214531
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