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Adolescents’ Future Expectations During High School: Examining the Role of Close Relationships, Psychosocial Risk and Sex in Stability and Change

Nunes, Filipa; Mota, Catarina Pinheiro; Ferreira, Tiago; Schoon, Ingrid; Matos, Paula Mena; (2025) Adolescents’ Future Expectations During High School: Examining the Role of Close Relationships, Psychosocial Risk and Sex in Stability and Change. Youth & Society , 57 (7) pp. 1273-1298. 10.1177/0044118X251320402. Green open access

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Abstract

This study examined the stability/change trajectories of future expectations during high school, analyzing whether adolescents’ sex, attachment to parents and peers, multiple risk, and pandemic-related stress explained these trajectories. The sample included 467 Portuguese adolescents, assessed three times across 18 months. Results revealed that adolescents’ future expectations increased significantly over time. We observed significant inter-participant variance at initial levels and growth rates. Emotional bonds with parents was associated with higher initial levels of optimistic future expectations, whereas alienation to peers was associated with lower initial levels of optimism. Adolescents’ exposure to multiple psychosocial risks was associated with lower growth of optimism. In turn, alienation to peers was associated with a higher growth rate of optimism. Pandemic-related stress was negatively associated with optimism at T2 and T3, and these associations were different over time. Our findings emphasize the associations between individual, relational, broader social contexts, and development of adolescents’ future expectations.

Type: Article
Title: Adolescents’ Future Expectations During High School: Examining the Role of Close Relationships, Psychosocial Risk and Sex in Stability and Change
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/0044118X251320402
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1177/0044118x251320402
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright © The Author(s) 2025. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits any use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages (https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).
Keywords: Optimism; hope; pessimism; attachment to parents and peers; multiple psychosocial risk; pandemic-related stress; latent growth curve model
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Education > UCL Institute of Education > IOE - Social Research Institute
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10214101
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