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Mining a Decade of Event Impacts on Contributor Dynamics in Ethereum: A Longitudinal Study

Vaccargiu, M; Aufiero, S; Ba, C; Bartolucci, S; Clegg, R; Graziotin, D; Neykova, R; ... Destefanis, G; + view all (2025) Mining a Decade of Event Impacts on Contributor Dynamics in Ethereum: A Longitudinal Study. In: 2025 IEEE/ACM 22nd International Conference on Mining Software Repositories (MSR). (pp. pp. 552-563). IEEE: Ottawa, ON, Canada. Green open access

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Abstract

We analyze developer activity across 10 major Ethereum repositories (totaling 129884 commits, 40550 issues) spanning 10 years to examine how events such as technical upgrades, market events, and community decisions impact development. Through statistical, survival, and network analyses, we find that technical events prompt increased activity before the event, followed by reduced commit rates afterwards, whereas market events lead to more reactive development. Core infrastructure repositories like Go-Ethereum exhibit faster issue resolution compared to developer tools, and technical events enhance core team collaboration. Our findings show how different types of events shape development dynamics, offering insights for project managers and developers in maintaining development momentum through major transitions. This work contributes to understanding the resilience of development communities and their adaptation to ecosystem changes.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Mining a Decade of Event Impacts on Contributor Dynamics in Ethereum: A Longitudinal Study
Event: 2025 IEEE/ACM 22nd International Conference on Mining Software Repositories (MSR)
Dates: 28 Apr 2025 - 29 Apr 2025
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1109/MSR66628.2025.00088
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1109/msr66628.2025.00088
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Shape, Ecosystems, Dynamics, Collaboration, Network analyzers, Blockchains, Data mining, Open source software, Software development management, Resilience
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Computer Science
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10211684
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