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Option market-making and vol arbitrage. The agent’s view is factored in to a realised-vs-implied vol model

Lucic, Vladimir; Tse, Alex; (2025) Option market-making and vol arbitrage. The agent’s view is factored in to a realised-vs-implied vol model. Risk.net pp. 1-13.

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Abstract

We introduce a market making model of options which can encompass the trader’s view on the underlying volatility versus the market implied volatility surface. An approximately optimal strategy is derived in closed form, where the optimal bid and ask levels depend on the expected volatility arbitrage profits associated with the quoted options. We demonstrate how risk control over customised factors can be incorporated within the trading algorithm, which in turn can improve the resilience of the market making strategy against unexpected movements of the implied volatility surface

Type: Article
Title: Option market-making and vol arbitrage. The agent’s view is factored in to a realised-vs-implied vol model
Publisher version: https://www.risk.net/cutting-edge/7961097/option-m...
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Dept of Mathematics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10207338
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