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Mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in older adult patients with cirrhosis: A validated prediction model

Vizzutti, F; Celsa, C; Calvaruso, V; Enea, M; Battaglia, S; Turco, L; Senzolo, M; ... Schepis, F; + view all (2023) Mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in older adult patients with cirrhosis: A validated prediction model. Hepatology , 77 (2) pp. 476-488. 10.1002/hep.32704. Green open access

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Abstract

Background and Aims: Implantation of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) improves survival in patients with cirrhosis with refractory ascites and portal hypertensive bleeding. However, the indication for TIPS in older adult patients (greater than or equal to 70 years) is debated, and a specific prediction model developed in this particular setting is lacking. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a multivariable model for an accurate prediction of mortality in older adults. // Approach and Results: We prospectively enrolled 411 consecutive patients observed at four referral centers with de novo TIPS implantation for refractory ascites or secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding (derivation cohort) and an external cohort of 415 patients with similar indications for TIPS (validation cohort). Older adult patients in the two cohorts were 99 and 76, respectively. A cause‐specific Cox competing risks model was used to predict liver‐related mortality, with orthotopic liver transplant and death for extrahepatic causes as competing events. Age, alcoholic etiology, creatinine levels, and international normalized ratio in the overall cohort, and creatinine and sodium levels in older adults were independent risk factors for liver‐related death by multivariable analysis. // Conclusions: After TIPS implantation, mortality is increased by aging, but TIPS placement should not be precluded in patients older than 70 years. In older adults, creatinine and sodium levels are useful predictors for decision making. Further efforts to update the prediction model with larger sample size are warranted.

Type: Article
Title: Mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt in older adult patients with cirrhosis: A validated prediction model
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/hep.32704
Publisher version: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/hep.32704
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Div of Medicine
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10184550
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