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Disease progression in the first 5 years of treatment in multiple sclerosis: Predictive value of early brain and lesion volume changes

Mattiesing, Rozemarijn M; Kramer, Eline; Strijbis, Eva MM; Brouwer, Iman; van Schijndel, Ronald A; Gentile, Giordano; Battaglini, Marco; ... Schoonheim, Menno M; + view all (2023) Disease progression in the first 5 years of treatment in multiple sclerosis: Predictive value of early brain and lesion volume changes. Multiple Sclerosis Journal 10.1177/13524585231212879. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Background: Whether the degree of inflammation (and its resolution) and neurodegeneration after treatment initiation predicts disease progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) remains unclear. // Objectives: To assess the predictive value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived brain and lesion volume (LV) changes in years 1 and 2 of treatment for disease progression. // Methods: Patients receiving early interferon beta-1a treatment in REFLEX/REFLEXION ( N = 262) were included. Predictive regression models included new/enlarging LV (positive activity), disappearing/shrinking LV (negative activity), and global/central atrophy during years 1 and 2. // Results: Faster global atrophy and/or pseudo-atrophy and positive lesion activity in years 1 and 2 related to an increased probability and faster conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). Negative lesion activity in year 1 and slower central atrophy in year 2 were predictive of confirmed disability progression (9-Hole Peg Test). Positive lesion activity in year 2 was predictive of faster global atrophy, while positive lesion activity in years 1 and 2 was predictive of faster central atrophy. // Conclusions: A higher degree of global atrophy and/or pseudo-atrophy in year 1 was predictive of CDMS. Positive lesion activity in any year was related to CDMS and neurodegeneration. Disability was related to negative lesion activity in year 1 and slower central atrophy in year 2.

Type: Article
Title: Disease progression in the first 5 years of treatment in multiple sclerosis: Predictive value of early brain and lesion volume changes
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1177/13524585231212879
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1177/13524585231212879
Language: English
Additional information: © The Author(s), 2023. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: Brain atrophy, disease progression, early multiple sclerosis, prognostic factors, pseudo-atrophy, white matter lesions
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology > Brain Repair and Rehabilitation
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10183553
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