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Seismic Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating Reinforced Concrete Buildings from a Life-Cycle Perspective

Otárola, K; Iannacone, L; Gentile, R; Galasso, C; (2023) Seismic Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating Reinforced Concrete Buildings from a Life-Cycle Perspective. In: Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP14. (pp. pp. 1-9). ICASP14 Green open access

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Abstract

Structural systems in seismically-active regions typically undergo multiple ground-motion sequences during their service life (including multiple mainshocks, mainshocks triggering other earthquakes on nearby fault segments, mainshock-aftershock, and aftershock-aftershock sequences). These successive ground motions can lead to severe structural/non-structural damage and significant direct/indirect earthquake-induced losses. Nevertheless, the effects of a pre-damaged state during ground-motion sequences are often neglected in assessing structural performance. Additionally, environmentally-induced deterioration mechanisms may exacerbate the consequences of such groundmotion sequences during the structural system’s designed lifetime. Yet, such combined effects are commonly overlooked. This paper proposes an end-to-end computational methodology to derive timeand state-dependent fragility relationships (i.e., explicitly depending on time and the damage state achieved by a system during a first shock) for structural systems subjected to chloride-induced corrosion deterioration and earthquake-induced ground-motion sequences. To this aim, a vector-valued probabilistic seismic demand model is developed. Such a model relates the dissipated hysteretic energy in the ground-motion sequence to the maximum inter-storey drift induced by the first shock and the intensity measure of the second shock for a given corrosion deterioration level. Moreover, a vectorvalued generalised logistic model is developed to estimate the probability of collapse, conditioning on the same parameters as above. An appropriate chloride-penetration model is then used to model the timevarying evolution of fragility relationships’ parameters using a plain Monte-Carlo approach, capturing the continuous nature of the deterioration processes (i.e., gradual and shock deterioration). The significant impact of such a multi-hazard threat on structural fragility is demonstrated by utilising a casestudy reinforced concrete building. Due to deteriorating effects, reductions up to 33.3% can be noticed in the fragility median values.

Type: Proceedings paper
Title: Seismic Fragility Analysis of Deteriorating Reinforced Concrete Buildings from a Life-Cycle Perspective
Event: 14th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP14)
Location: Dublin, Ireland
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
Publisher version: http://www.tara.tcd.ie/bitstream/handle/2262/10360...
Language: English
Additional information: © The Authors 2023. Original content in this paper is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International (CC BY-NC SA 4.0) Licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.en).
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Inst for Risk and Disaster Reduction
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10180501
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