Douville, H;
Raghavan, K;
Renwick, J;
Allan, RP;
Arias, PA;
Barlow, M;
Cerezo-Mota, R;
... Zolina, O; + view all
(2023)
Water Cycle Changes.
In: Masson-Delmotte, V and Zha, P and Pirani, A and Connors, SL and Péan, C and Berger, A and Caud, N and Chen, Y and Goldfarb, L and Gomis, MI and Huang, M and Leitzell, K and Lonnoy, E and Matthews, JBR and Maycock, TK and Waterfield, T and Yelekçi, O and Yu, R and Zhou, B, (eds.)
Climate Change 2021 The Physical Science Basis : Working Group I Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
(pp. 1055-1210).
Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.
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Abstract
This chapter assesses multiple lines of evidence to evaluate past, present and future changes in the global water cycle. It complements material in Chapters 2, 3 and 4 on observed and projected changes in the water cycle, and Chapters 10 and 11 on regional climate change and extreme events. The assessment includes the physical basis for water cycle changes, observed changes in the water cycle and attribution of their causes, future projections and related key uncertainties, and the potential for abrupt change. Paleoclimate evidence, observations, reanalyses and global and regional model simulations are considered. The assessment shows widespread, nonuniform human-caused alterations of the water cycle, which have been obscured by a competition between different drivers across the 20th century and that will be increasingly dominated by greenhouse gas forcing at the global scale.
| Type: | Book chapter |
|---|---|
| Title: | Water Cycle Changes |
| ISBN-13: | 9781009157896 |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1017/9781009157896.010 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896.010 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | © Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2021. This work is in copyright. It is subject to statutory exceptions and to the provisions of relevant licensing agreements; with the exception of the Creative Commons version the link for which is provided below, no reproduction of any part of this work may take place without the written permission of Cambridge University Press. An online version of this work is published at doi.org/10.1017/9781009157896 under a Creative Commons Open Access license CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 which permits re-use, distribution and reproduction in any medium for non-commercial purposes providing appropriate credit to the original work is given. You may not distribute derivative works without permission. To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0 |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Geography |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10175088 |
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