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Does 3D-speckle tracking echocardiography improve prediction of major cardiovascular events in a multi-ethnic general population? A Southall and Brent Revisited (SABRE) cohort study

Al Saikhan, Lamia; Park, Chloe; Tillin, Therese; Jones, Siana; Mayet, Jamil; Chaturvedi, Nish; Hughes, Alun; (2023) Does 3D-speckle tracking echocardiography improve prediction of major cardiovascular events in a multi-ethnic general population? A Southall and Brent Revisited (SABRE) cohort study. PLoS One , 18 (6) , Article e0287173. 10.1371/journal.pone.0287173. Green open access

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Abstract

3D-speckle tracking echocardiography(3D-STE) allows simultaneous assessment of ejection fraction(EF) and multidirectional strains, but its prognostic utility in the general population is unknown. We investigated if 3D-STE strains predicted a composite of major cardiac endpoints(MACE) beyond cardiovascular risk factors(CVDRF), and whether they were superior to 3D-EF. 529 participants in SABRE, a UK-based tri-ethnic general population cohort (69±6y; 76.6% male) with acceptable 3D-STE imaging were studied. Associations between 3D-EF or multidirectional myocardial strains and MACE(coronary heart disease(fatal/non-fatal), heart failure hospitalization, new-onset arrhythmia and cardiovascular mortality) were determined using Cox regression including adjustment for CVDRF and 2D-EF. Whether 3D-EF, global longitudinal strain(3D-GLS) and principle tangential strain(3D-PTS/3D-strain) improved cardiovascular risk stratification over CVDRF was investigated using a likelihood ratio test on a series of nested Cox proportional hazards models and Harrell's C statistics. During follow-up(median, 12y), there were 92 events. 3D-EF, 3D-GLS and 3D-PTS and 3D-RS were associated with MACE in unadjusted and models adjusted for CVDRF but not CVDRF+2D-EF. Compared to 3D-EF, both 3D-GLS and 3D-PTS slightly improved the predictive value over CVDRF for MACE, but the improvement was modest(C statistic increased from 0.698(0.647, 0.749) to 0.715(0.663, 0.766) comparing CVDRF with CVDRF +3D-GLS). 3D-STE-derived LV myocardial strains predicted MACE in a multi-ethnic general population sample of elderly individuals from the UK; however the added prognostic value of 3D-STE myocardial strains was small.

Type: Article
Title: Does 3D-speckle tracking echocardiography improve prediction of major cardiovascular events in a multi-ethnic general population? A Southall and Brent Revisited (SABRE) cohort study
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287173
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0287173
Language: English
Additional information: Copyright: © 2023 Al Saikhan et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Keywords: Humans, Male, Aged, Female, Cohort Studies, Echocardiography, Prognosis, Heart Failure, Proportional Hazards Models, Ventricular Function, Left, Echocardiography, Three-Dimensional, Stroke Volume, Reproducibility of Results, Predictive Value of Tests
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Cardiovascular Science > Population Science and Experimental Medicine
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10172924
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