Catenacci, Michela;
Verdolini, Elena;
Bosetti, Valentina;
Fiorese, Giulia;
Ameli, Nadia;
(2012)
Going Electric: Expert Survey on the Future of Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles.
AgEcon Search: St. Paul, Minnesota, USA.
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Abstract
The paper describes the results of a survey, carried out with leading EU experts, on the capacity of both fully electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles to reach commercial success in the next twenty years. The success of electric transport is hampered by a combination of low range, scarce efficiency and high costs of batteries. Costs are expected to decrease in response to increasing sales volume and technical improvements, and advances would result from adequate investments in research, development and demonstration (RD&D). Experts’ judgements are collected to shed light on the inherently uncertain relationship between RD&D efforts and consequent technical progress, and to assess the complex dynamics that will hinder or support the widespread diffusion of electric vehicles. The analysis of the experts’ data results in a number of important policy recommendations to guide future RD&D choices and target commitments both for the EU and its member states.
| Type: | Working / discussion paper |
|---|---|
| Title: | Going Electric: Expert Survey on the Future of Battery Technologies for Electric Vehicles |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.22004/ag.econ.143123 |
| Publisher version: | http://dx.doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.143123 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions. |
| Keywords: | Expert Elicitation; Battery Technologies; Electric Vehicles |
| UCL classification: | UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of the Built Environment > Bartlett School Env, Energy and Resources |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10171202 |
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