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Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity

Lewis, Daniel J; (2022) Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity. The Review of Economics and Statistics , 104 (3) pp. 510-524. 10.1162/rest_a_00963. Green open access

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Abstract

Identification via heteroskedasticity exploits variance changes between regimes to identify parameters in simultaneous equations. Weak identification occurs when shock variances change very little or multiple variances change close to proportionally, making standard inference unreliable. I propose an F-test for weak identification in a common simple version of the model. More generally, I establish conditions for validity of nonconservative robust inference on subsets of the parameters, which can be used to test for weak identification. I study monetary policy shocks identified using heteroskedasticity in high-frequency data. I detect weak identification, invalidating standard inference, in daily data, while intraday data provide strong identification.

Type: Article
Title: Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1162/rest_a_00963
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00963
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the version of record. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10160481
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