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The shifting narrative of uncertainty: a case for the coherent and consistent consideration of uncertainty in forensic science

Georgiou, N; Morgan, RM; French, JC; (2022) The shifting narrative of uncertainty: a case for the coherent and consistent consideration of uncertainty in forensic science. Australian Journal of Forensic Sciences 10.1080/00450618.2022.2104370. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

This review of academic, policy and case law materials identifies current challenges in reaching a coherent understanding of uncertainty in forensic science in terms of articulating a definition, and the types and characteristics of uncertainty. It is identified that there is a shifting narrative characterized by a move from avoiding uncertainty, towards an increasing awareness of its complexity and acceptance of its unavoidable and ineliminable nature at every stage of the forensic science process. Despite this shift, there is still significant progress to be made in order to reach the requisite level of clarity in how uncertainty is understood and conceptualized for the purposes of developing more holistic and effective frameworks for its evaluation and reporting. This review sets out a basis for developing a coherent and consistent understanding of uncertainty in forensic science across institutions and stakeholders.

Type: Article
Title: The shifting narrative of uncertainty: a case for the coherent and consistent consideration of uncertainty in forensic science
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1080/00450618.2022.2104370
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1080/00450618.2022.2104370
Language: English
Additional information: © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Keywords: Uncertainty narrative, uncertainty understanding, forensic science, definitions of uncertainty, types of uncertainty, characteristics of uncertainty
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Security and Crime Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10153321
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