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Impact of climate change on hospital admissions: a case study of the Royal Berkshire Hospital in the UK

Israelsson, Jennifer; Charlton‐Perez, Andrew; Sun, Ting; (2022) Impact of climate change on hospital admissions: a case study of the Royal Berkshire Hospital in the UK. Meteorological Applications , 29 (4) , Article e2084. 10.1002/met.2084. Green open access

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Abstract

Global warming is projected to have major implications on global health. It is however not yet clear how this will translate to impacts on the healthcare system. By linking changes in temperature with changes in required bed days at a hospital level, through the use of a simple bed model, we quantify the projected impacts UK hospitals will need to adapt to. We show that there is already a local peak of bed days required in the main summer months due to hot temperatures. The results further show that there will be a significant increase during the main summer in both the mean and maximum number of beds needed, but a non-significant decrease during the peak winter months. These changes lead to a more constant need of care of the year and shift the seasonal cycle of lowest hospital needs.

Type: Article
Title: Impact of climate change on hospital admissions: a case study of the Royal Berkshire Hospital in the UK
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/met.2084
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2084
Language: English
Additional information: © 2022 The Authors. Meteorological Applications published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Royal Meteorological Society. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Admissions, health systems, heat morbidity, impact
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Maths and Physical Sciences > Inst for Risk and Disaster Reduction
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10152915
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