Hoskin, Peter J;
Hopkins, Kirsten;
Misra, Vivek;
Holt, Tanya;
McMenemin, Rhona;
McKinna, Fiona;
Madhavan, Krishnaswamy;
... Lopes, Andre; + view all
(2022)
Prognostic factors for survival and ambulatory status at 8 weeks with metastatic spinal cord compression in the SCORAD randomised trial.
Radiotherapy and Oncology
, 173
pp. 77-83.
10.1016/j.radonc.2022.05.017.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND: Metastatic spinal cord compression (MSCC) carries a poor prognosis and management is based on the likelihood of maintaining mobility and predicted survival. PATIENTS AND METHOD: SCORAD is a randomised trial of 686 patients comparing a single dose of 8Gy radiotherapy with 20Gy in 5 fractions. Data was split into a training set (412, 60%) and a validation set (274, 40%). A multivariable Cox regression for overall survival (OS) and a logistic regression for ambulatory status at 8 weeks were performed in the training set using baseline factors and a backward selection regression to identify a parsimonious model with p≤0.10. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis evaluated model prognostic performance in the validation set. Validation of the final survival model was performed in a separate registry dataset (n=348). RESULTS: The survival Cox model identified male gender, lung, gastrointestinal, and other types of cancer, compression at C1-T12, presence of non-skeletal metastases and poor ambulatory status all significantly associated with worse OS (all p<0.05). The ROC AUC for the selected model was 75% (95%CI: 69 to 81) in the SCORAD validation set and 68% (95%CI: 62 to 74) in the external validation registry data. The logistic model for ambulatory outcome identified primary tumour breast or prostate, ambulatory status grade 1 or 2, bladder function normal and prior chemotherapy all significantly associated with increased odds of ambulation at 8 weeks (all p<0.05). The ROC AUC for the selected model was 72.3% (95% CI 62.6-82.0) in the validation set. CONCLUSIONS: Primary breast or prostate cancer, and good ambulatory status at presentation, are favourable prognostic factors for both survival and ambulation after treatment.
| Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Title: | Prognostic factors for survival and ambulatory status at 8 weeks with metastatic spinal cord compression in the SCORAD randomised trial |
| Location: | Ireland |
| Open access status: | An open access version is available from UCL Discovery |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.radonc.2022.05.017 |
| Publisher version: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.radonc.2022.05.017 |
| Language: | English |
| Additional information: | This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions. |
| Keywords: | Metastatic, Nomogram, Prognostic index, Radiotherapy, Spinal cord compression |
| UCL classification: | UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Cancer Institute > CRUK Cancer Trials Centre UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences UCL UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Medical Sciences > Cancer Institute |
| URI: | https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10151768 |
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