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Application of quantitative bias analysis for unmeasured confounding in cost-effectiveness modelling

Leahy, Thomas P; Duffield, Stephen; Kent, Seamus; Sammon, Cormac; Tzelis, Dimitris; Ray, Joshua; Groenwold, Rolf Hh; ... Grieve, Richard; + view all (2022) Application of quantitative bias analysis for unmeasured confounding in cost-effectiveness modelling. Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research 10.2217/cer-2022-0030. (In press). Green open access

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Abstract

Due to uncertainty regarding the potential impact of unmeasured confounding, health technology assessment (HTA) agencies often disregard evidence from nonrandomised studies when considering new technologies. Quantitative bias analysis (QBA) methods provide a means to quantify this uncertainty but have not been widely used in the HTA setting, particularly in the context of cost-effectiveness modelling (CEM). This study demonstrated the application of an aggregate and patient-level QBA approach to quantify and adjust for unmeasured confounding in a simulated nonrandomised comparison of survival outcomes. Application of the QBA output within a CEM through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses and under different scenarios of knowledge of an unmeasured confounder demonstrates the potential value of QBA in HTA.

Type: Article
Title: Application of quantitative bias analysis for unmeasured confounding in cost-effectiveness modelling
Location: England
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.2217/cer-2022-0030
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.2217/cer-2022-0030
Language: English
Additional information: This work is licensed under the Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Keywords: HTA, cost–effectiveness, nonrandomised, quantitative bias analysis, unmeasured confounding
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health > Applied Health Research
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Institute of Epidemiology and Health
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10150258
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