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Was the Falklands crisis a war of distraction? A reinterpretation of the Argentine decline through prospective theory

Schenoni, LL; Braniff, S; Battaglino, J; (2021) Was the Falklands crisis a war of distraction? A reinterpretation of the Argentine decline through prospective theory. America Latina Hoy , 89 pp. 127-153. 10.14201/alh.27259. Green open access

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Abstract

How do we explain the Falklands War? In this article we revisit this episode through a counterfactual analysis using recently declassified documents. These sources cast additional doubt over the diversionary war and miscalculation theses. The evidence suggest that long-term power dynamics and psychological biases affecting the members of the Argentine military Junta better explain the decisions that led to the war.

Type: Article
Title: Was the Falklands crisis a war of distraction? A reinterpretation of the Argentine decline through prospective theory
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.14201/alh.27259
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.14201/alh.27259
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article under the cc by-nc-nd license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Malvinas/Falklands; prospect theory; counterfactual analysis; war
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Political Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10144092
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