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Housing market spillovers through the lens of transaction volume: A new spillover index approach

Yang, Jian; Tong, Meng; Yu, Ziliang; (2021) Housing market spillovers through the lens of transaction volume: A new spillover index approach. Journal of Empirical Finance , 64 pp. 351-378. 10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.10.003. Green open access

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Abstract

Proposing and applying a new spillover index approach based on data-determined structural vector autoregression to measure connectedness, we examine the daily housing market information transmission via transaction volume among Chinese city-level housing markets from 2009 to 2018. We document substantial information transmission on Chinese housing markets even within one day and find that the role a city-level housing market may play in the information transmission network resembles a pattern observed on other financial markets, which can be generally classified into three distinctive groups: prime senders, exchange centers, and prime receivers. City hierarchy and some fundamental economic factors, such as GDP per capita and average wage, appear to be significant determinants of such a pattern. The findings extend the existing voluminous literature solely based on housing prices or price volatility spillovers and shed new light on the China's government intervention strategy on the housing market.

Type: Article
Title: Housing market spillovers through the lens of transaction volume: A new spillover index approach
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.10.003
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2021.10.003
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher’s terms and conditions.
Keywords: Transaction volume; Spillover index; Information transmission; DAG; Datadetermined VAR
UCL classification: UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH > Faculty of S&HS > Dept of Economics
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL SLASH
UCL
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10143341
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