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Post-recurrence survival in patients with cervical cancer

Cibula, D; Dostálek, L; Jarkovsky, J; Mom, CH; Lopez, A; Falconer, H; Scambia, G; ... van Lonkhuijzen, LRCW; + view all (2022) Post-recurrence survival in patients with cervical cancer. Gynecologic Oncology , 164 (2) pp. 362-369. 10.1016/j.ygyno.2021.12.018. Green open access

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Background: Up to 26% of patients with early-stage cervical cancer experience relapse after primary surgery. However, little is known about which factors influence prognosis following disease recurrence. Therefore, our aims were to determine post-recurrence disease-specific survival (PR-DSS) and to identify respective prognostic factors for PR-DSS. / Methods: Data from 528 patients with early-stage cervical cancer who relapsed after primary surgery performed between 2007 and 2016 were obtained from the SCANN study (Surveillance in Cervical CANcer). Factors related to the primary disease and recurrence were combined in a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to predict PR-DSS. / Results: The 5-year PR-DSS was 39.1% (95% confidence interval [CI] 22.7%–44.5%), median disease-free interval between primary surgery and recurrence (DFI1) was 1.5 years, and median survival after recurrence was 2.5 years. Six significant variables were identified in the multivariable analysis and were used to construct the prognostic model. Two were related to primary treatment (largest tumour size and lymphovascular space invasion) and four to recurrence (DFI1, age at recurrence, presence of symptoms, and recurrence type). The C-statistic after 10-fold cross-validation of prognostic model reached 0.701 (95% CI 0.675–0.727). Three risk-groups with significantly differing prognoses were identified, with 5-year PR-DSS rates of 81.8%, 44.6%, and 12.7%. / Conclusions: We developed the robust model of PR-DSS to stratify patients with relapsed cervical cancer according to risk profiles using six routinely recorded prognostic markers. The model can be utilised in clinical practice to aid decision-making on the strategy of recurrence management, and to better inform the patients.

Type: Article
Title: Post-recurrence survival in patients with cervical cancer
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.ygyno.2021.12.018
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ygyno.2021.12.018
Language: English
Additional information: This version is the author accepted manuscript. For information on re-use, please refer to the publisher's terms and conditions.
Keywords: Early-stage cervical cancer; Recurrence; Post-recurrence disease-specific survival; Prognosis; Multivariable model; Risk profile
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Population Health Sciences > Inst of Clinical Trials and Methodology
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10140966
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