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Assisted specification of discrete choice models

Ortelli, N; Hillel, T; Pereira, FC; de Lapparent, M; Bierlaire, M; (2021) Assisted specification of discrete choice models. Journal of Choice Modelling , 39 , Article 100285. 10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100285. Green open access

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Abstract

Determining appropriate utility specifications for discrete choice models is time-consuming and prone to errors. With the availability of larger and larger datasets, as the number of possible specifications exponentially grows with the number of variables under consideration, the analysts need to spend increasing amounts of time on searching for good models through trial-and-error, while expert knowledge is required to ensure these models are sound. This paper proposes an algorithm that aims at assisting modelers in their search. Our approach translates the task into a multi-objective combinatorial optimization problem and makes use of a variant of the variable neighborhood search algorithm to generate sets of promising model specifications. We apply the algorithm both to semi-synthetic data and to real mode choice datasets as a proof of concept. The results demonstrate its ability to provide relevant insights in reasonable amounts of time so as to effectively assist the modeler in developing interpretable and powerful models.

Type: Article
Title: Assisted specification of discrete choice models
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100285
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jocm.2021.100285
Language: English
Additional information: © 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Keywords: Discrete choice models, Utility specification, Multi-objective optimization, Combinatorial optimization, Metaheuristics
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > UCL BEAMS > Faculty of Engineering Science > Dept of Civil, Environ and Geomatic Eng
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10140001
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