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Pattern and degree of individual brain atrophy predicts dementia onset in dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease

Keret, O; Staffaroni, AM; Ringman, JM; Cobigo, Y; Goh, S-YM; Wolf, A; Allen, IE; ... Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network; + view all (2021) Pattern and degree of individual brain atrophy predicts dementia onset in dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease. Alzheimer's & Dementia: Diagnosis, Assessment & Disease Monitoring , 13 (1) , Article e12197. 10.1002/dad2.12197. Green open access

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Abstract

Introduction: Asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease mutation carriers (DIAD-MC) are ideal candidates for preventative treatment trials aimed at delaying or preventing dementia onset. Brain atrophy is an early feature of DIAD-MC and could help predict risk for dementia during trial enrollment. Methods: We created a dementia risk score by entering standardized gray-matter volumes from 231 DIAD-MC into a logistic regression to classify participants with and without dementia. The score's predictive utility was assessed using Cox models and receiver operating curves on a separate group of 65 DIAD-MC followed longitudinally. Results: Our risk score separated asymptomatic versus demented DIAD-MC with 96.4% (standard error = 0.02) and predicted conversion to dementia at next visit (hazard ratio = 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI: 1.15, 1.49]) and within 2 years (area under the curve = 90.3%, 95% CI [82.3%–98.2%]) and improved prediction beyond established methods based on familial age of onset. Discussion: Individualized risk scores based on brain atrophy could be useful for establishing enrollment criteria and stratifying DIAD-MC participants for prevention trials.

Type: Article
Title: Pattern and degree of individual brain atrophy predicts dementia onset in dominantly inherited Alzheimer's disease
Location: United States
Open access status: An open access version is available from UCL Discovery
DOI: 10.1002/dad2.12197
Publisher version: https://doi.org/10.1002/dad2.12197
Language: English
Additional information: This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Keywords: Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network, autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease, brain atrophy, preclinical Alzheimer's disease
UCL classification: UCL
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology
UCL > Provost and Vice Provost Offices > School of Life and Medical Sciences > Faculty of Brain Sciences > UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology > Neurodegenerative Diseases
URI: https://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/id/eprint/10132431
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